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Trends and Forecasting

Tendințe și prognoze

În prezent, viteza de intrare pe piaţă a noilor oferte şi scurtarea ciclului de viaţă al produselor pun o presiune enormă pe companii. Comportamentul de cumpărare evoluează mai rapid ca niciodată.

Pentru a avea succes, companiile au nevoie de previziuni de vânzări precise, bazate pe analize robuste şi de cele mai actualizate date privind tendinţele pieţei şi ale cumpărătorilor.

Oferim prognoze detaliate privind cererea consumatorilor în domeniultehnologiei, precum şi date despre tendinţele pieţei globale de tehnologie.

Previziunile noastre sunt realizate cu ajutorul celui mai mare eşantion de date colectate din punctele de vânzare, îmbinat cu experienţa noastră  pe pieţele locale şi globale. Acest melanj le oferă clienţilor noştri prognoze granulare precise, bazate pe date actuale despre evoluţia viitoare a cererii, anticipând ce produse vor cumpăra consumatorii, în ce cantitate, la ce preţ şi prin ce canale. 

Prognoze pentru investitori şi pieţe de capital

Investitorii instituţionali se confruntă cu presiuni tot mai mari pentru a obţine performanţe. Pentru a avea succes, companiile au nevoie să observe tendinţele semnificative încă din stadiile timpurii. Acestea au nevoie de informaţii complexe, pe care să se poată baza, despre oportunitățile de investiţii. 

Oferim investitorilor prognoze robuste, cu ajutorul celui mai mare eşantion de date din punctele de vânzare din lume. Prognozăm şi documentăm punctele de cotitură în evoluţia cererii, oferind analize periodice şi detaliate referitoare la companiile producătoare de hardware, şi noi tehnologii pentru consumatori.

Previziunile noastre le permit investitorilor să facă recomandări de succes, pe baza unor surse credibile, care respectă cu stricteţe standardele din domeniu.

Noutăți

Găsiți cele mai noi date și interpretări pentru soluțiile legate de Tendințe și prognoze. Vedeți toate informațiile

    • 09/28/17
    • Financial Services
    • Automotive
    • Market Opportunities and Innovation
    • Trends and Forecasting
    • Global
    • English

    What impact is renewal transparency having on the British motor insurance market?

    Premium Drivers

    If you have renewed your motor insurance recently you may have noticed that the price your insurer has asked you to pay has probably increased. A combination of higher Insurance Premium Tax (rates have doubled over the past two years), bigger injury pay-outs and rising vehicle repair costs mean that motor insurance prices are now at an all-time high. Even for those of us savvy enough to shop around and switch provider, prices have also typically risen, despite the fact that the market remains as competitive as ever. However, it still generally pays to switch, as the vast majority of motor insurance providers are still willing to chase new business and therefore many still offer introductory discounts. Given this, it is somewhat concerning that, according to GfK’s Financial Research Survey (FRS), that the number of drivers who do switch has remained basically unchanged compared to four years ago. The number has held steady at around a quarter of drivers. So it would seem that many drivers don’t know, don’t consider, or just can’t be bothered, to change provider, despite the rising prices.

    Motor insurance renewal transparency: early signs of increased shopping around

    But there are tentative signs that this might be changing. Since April 2017, insurance providers have had to disclose prior year premiums on renewal notices. These new rules mandated by the FCA allow customers to compare more easily what they paid last year versus what they may pay this year, if they remain with the same provider. Early signs suggest renewal transparency has helped encourage greater levels of shopping around but this hasn’t so far translated into actual switching. According to the FRS, the proportion of drivers who “actively renew” their motor insurance (renew but take out at least one quote) has grown and now stands at 29%, the highest-ever level. In addition, a high proportion of those who have switched in the last 12 months also state that they are likely to switch again. On the other hand, large numbers are still auto-renewing on their motor insurance, particularly across older age groups where auto renewal rates remain stubbornly high at over 45%. For these customers, renewal transparency rules mean that providers must now also include additional disclosures on renewal notices explicitly encouraging people to shop around. Overall, I think renewal transparency has definitely been a useful step forward in making the motor insurance market more consumer friendly, and it will be interesting to see if it helps encourage greater levels of switching in the months ahead. If you would like more data, please contact me.

    The Financial Research Survey (FRS) is one of the largest and longest running surveys tracking personal financial holdings and behaviours and is considered the industry benchmark within the British financial industry

    • 09/28/17
    • Press
    • Financial Services
    • Public Services
    • Trends and Forecasting
    • Global
    • English

    German consumer climate declines slightly

    GfK forecasts a decrease in consumer climate for October of 0.1 points in comparison to the previous month to 10.8 points.
    • 09/28/17
    • Press
    • Health
    • Market Opportunities and Innovation
    • Trends and Forecasting
    • Global Study
    • Global
    • English

    Time with family or pets as popular as exercise or healthy eating to maintain “physical health”

    GfK data on activities that people do regularly to maintain their physical health. Increases in the number of people listing "follow a specific diet", "take a break from technology", "eat healthy food" and "spend time with family, friends or pets".
    • 09/15/17
    • Market Opportunities and Innovation
    • Trends and Forecasting
    • Global
    • English

    Consumers are stressed, but confident: Surprising results from our Mood of the World 2017 study

    “I read the news today, oh boy”, John Lennon wrote this in 1967, but it seems every more appropriate today.  The news alert goes off on your mobile, and you think – what has happened now?  Terrorism?  Natural disaster?  North Korea?  Do you wonder how this seemingly constant barrage of anxiety-producing news is impacting people around the world? At GfK Consumer Life, every year since 1997, we conduct a survey of people all around the globe.  Many of the questions we ask have been asked for the past 20 years.  This gives us a unique perspective on how people are feeling today and reacting to the world around them.  These insights are used by global businesses and organizations to help them understand how their target markets are evolving, help them develop new products and services, and create more effective and relevant messaging. Our 2017 study is just out of the field and we’ve learned some interesting things about how people are reacting and adapting to the world around them.

    Consumers feeling stressed

    One of the things we’ve found is that people are reporting higher levels of stress.  This probably isn’t all that surprising, but the magnitude of the increase is nonetheless pretty startling.  91% of global respondents in our study report they find at least one of 14 problems to be a cause of stress in their life, and that number is up 20 points since 2015.  But it is not just the problems of the outside world that are stressing us out.  Stress is also coming from the pressure we are putting on ourselves, our health and day-to-day finances.

    Confidence still high

    Yet what is interesting about this stress is that it doesn’t appear to be dimming global consumer confidence.  Seven out of ten global consumers feel that they will be better off financially in the next 12 months – a number that has been quite steady globally since 2014 (and indeed, just a little bit better than where we were in 2016). Perhaps this is because despite all the talk about division and polarization, in many ways, people around the world are more alike than they have ever been.  Proliferation of mobile devices enables similar, on-the-go lifestyles.  Globally, our data shows that people feel less constrained by societal expectations related to gender and age.  Increasing global urbanization means that there are converging urban lifestyles.  Let’s face it, being late for work because you got stuck in traffic is just as frustrating whether that traffic is in Mexico City, Shanghai, or New York.

    Conclusion

    Expectations, or more specifically, rising expectations – that people have of themselves, of the products they use and the brands they buy – are contributing to both increased stress levels and sustained consumer confidence.  The fact that these two dynamics are happening at the same time is truly new news. Kathy Sheehan is Executive Vice President and General Manager of GfK’s Consumer Trends team. She can be reached at kathy.sheehan@gfk.com. hbspt.cta.load(2405078, 'fb44dca3-5899-4ef0-8edc-25a8ee2daec4', {});
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