A risk modeling company needed reliable boundary and market data to create and validate its windstorm model for Europe. Constructing geographically precise risk models is essential to predicting financial risk for the insurance and reinsurance companies that use our client’s services.
GfK's Map of the Month for August shows the amount of general purchasing power available for retail spending after deducting expenses relating to rent, mortgage payments, insurance, vehicles, travel and services. GfK Retail Purchasing Power is therefore a measure of the potential demand for fixed-location retail and mail-order trade within a specific region.
We calculated the regional market potential for our client’s product line categories. This allowed the retailer to optimize these product lines at the chain store level, resulting in cost savings and a more effective response to local demand.
GfK's Map of the Month for July shows the regional market potential for office-related supplies, including telecommunications and mobile communications devices, internet service providers, PCs, networks, printers, multifunctional devices, projectors, software, office furniture and security systems.
Alpirsbacher Klosterbräu is a regional German brewery. They use our geomarketing software to analyze and objectively evaluate its regional sales and then optimize its business.
Online or offline? This is a polarized debate among today's retailers, fueled by a desire to capitalize on new trends on one hand and a fear of being overwhelmed by them on the other. In the absence of facts, retailers and investors are often guided by emotions. This has resulted in a lack of investment in locations, stores and personnel, which makes it no surprise that success remains elusive. We believe it is a mistake for Fashion & Lifestyle retailers to overlook the importance of the physical point of sale …
A new report from GfK is available today that examines the co-evolution of innovative fashion and lifestyle stores alongside the increasingly significant “experience economy”. It identifies four key trends which can mitigate against the currently sinking retail share in private consumption that is prevalent in mature Western retail markets.
GfK has released new, expanded map editions for Australia and New Zealand that reflect the latest regional changes. Digital maps of administrative and postal regions comprise the foundation for location-based analyses, or geomarketing, for companies across all industries.
GfK forecasts a slight nominal growth of 0.8 percent in Germany's stationary retail turnover. The study reveals that retail potential varies significantly from region to region.
Good news first: We anticipate real-value retail growth for 2016, albeit at a slackened pace. My team within our Geomarketing division recently carried out a comprehensive analysis of the European retail scene in 33 European countries. We reviewed 2015’s key retail indicators such as purchasing power, retail share of private spending, inflation and sales area provision, and arrived at an overall positive turnover prognosis for Europe in 2016. But, naturally, there are large differences between the individual regions in Europe.
Here’s a look at our key findings:
Purchasing power in 2015: The economy grew and unemployment fell in most countries in 2015. This development is reflected in the nominal purchasing power figures, which increased in the European Union by an average of 3.7 percent compared to the previous year. This gave each EU citizen an average of €15,948 for consumption, rent, savings and retirement contributions.
2016 turnover prognosis: The solid store retail business from last year will continue in 2016. For the EU-28 countries, we forecast somewhat decelerated progress, with a growth of 1.1 percent (based on nominal euro values). There will be especially positive developments in Romania (+7.2 percent) as well as continued progress in the Baltic States (+3.8 percent to +4.9 percent), which are gradually catching up with the more mature markets. We expect a robust dynamic in store retail in Sweden (+4.8 percent) and Spain (+3.7 percent).
Retail share of private consumption: In 2015, European consumers enjoyed low energy and fuel costs as well as a good economic situation and an increase in private wealth in many European countries. Even so, the main beneficiaries of these positive conditions were areas other than retail. Consequently, the trend of retail’s declining share of private consumption also continued in 2015. The average quota for the EU-28 is 30.4 percent. While consumers have more money for purchases, they predominantly spend these funds on services, traveling and recreational activities rather than on retail. These expenditures translate to less money available for retail consumption.
Inflation: Consumer prices remained constant (+0.0 percent) in 2015. This is a rare situation for industry and retail as well as for consumers. In February 2016, the European Commission forecasted a 2016 price increase of 0.5 percent, driven by a more expansive central bank policy and an economic upswing. But the inflation expectations are dampened by the low prices for crude materials. A price deflation actually occurred in many European countries in 2015. But for 2016, the European Commission forecasts declining consumer prices only in Slovenia (-0.3 percent), Romania (-0.2 percent), Lithuania (-0.1 percent) and Bulgaria (-0.1 percent).
Sales area productivity: Over the past year, sales area productivity in the EU-28 increased by 2.7 percent to just under €4,200 per m² of sales area. This is good news for stationary retail, which was able to make gains for two years in a row after years of declining performance. The online dynamic slowed in more mature markets, and store retail is gradually adjusting to the new conditions. Unprofitable shops were closed as part of retailers’ digitization of their offering and pursuit of omni-channel solutions. The highest sales area productivity values are traditionally in Northern Europe, Switzerland and Luxembourg, while the lowest are in Eastern and Southeastern Europe. But the latter countries are continually gaining ground.
As the study shows, no two markets – or even two locations – are the same. When choosing potential retail sites, retailers must get clarity on the market potential of the location – both now and over the long term. In order to gauge the potential accurately, it is important to understand the shopper types, profiles and trends that influence the consumer behavior and thus turnover potential for a particular product group at a particular location. Understanding your regional clients and target groups is a major success factor in any sales channel, whether online or offline.
 The full study can be obtained as a PDF at www.gfk-geomarketing.com/european-retail.
Please email Gerold.Doplbauer@gfk.com to share your thoughts.
Within four months, Rupp & Hubrach restructured its sales organization and implemented many new client-sales representative assignments. The company met its goals of increasing sales to existing customers and acquiring new clients.
With our RegioGraph software we enabled kohlpharma to easily optimize its complex parallel sales channels. The regional analyses helped the company to hone in on promising areas with potential customers, and identify regional strengths and weaknesses.